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Bond traders are closely monitoring inflation data as they anticipate a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its December 18 meeting. Recent employment figures suggest a cooling labor market, while upcoming consumer and producer price reports are expected to show minimal inflation pressure, providing a clearer outlook for traders.
Donald Trump has stated he will not remove Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell before his term ends in May 2026, while outlining plans for tariffs, mass deportations, and tax cuts upon taking office. Despite concerns about the Fed's independence, Powell has affirmed he will not resign early, emphasizing legal protections for the institution. Trump's proposed policies may increase price pressures, complicating the Fed's ability to lower interest rates.
President-elect Donald Trump stated he will not attempt to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell when he takes office in January, despite past tensions over interest rate policies. Trump acknowledged that while he could ask Powell to resign, he likely wouldn't comply. Powell, who was appointed by Trump in 2018, has asserted that he will not leave office early, emphasizing the legal protections for Fed governors.
US consumer borrowing surged in October, with total credit outstanding rising by $19.2 billion, significantly exceeding forecasts. This increase was driven by the largest jump in credit-card balances since mid-2022, following a revised $3.2 billion rise in September. The median estimate anticipated a $10 billion gain, highlighting a notable shift in consumer credit behavior.
US Treasuries rallied as traders increased their expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut this month, following a mixed November employment report. Yields on two-year notes fell four basis points to 4.10%, with traders now pricing in approximately 21 basis points of easing at the Fed's December meeting, up from 16 basis points prior to the data release.
U.S. job growth experienced a significant increase in November, rebounding from previous constraints caused by hurricanes and strikes. However, this surge is unlikely to indicate a substantial change in the labor market, which continues to show steady easing, paving the way for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this month.
U.S. job growth is expected to have surged in November following disruptions caused by hurricanes and strikes. However, this increase is unlikely to indicate a significant change in labor market conditions that would prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates this month.
Bond traders are closely monitoring the upcoming US employment report for November as they anticipate potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Currently, the market suggests a 65% chance of a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's Dec. 18 meeting, with expectations of 80 basis points of easing by the end of next year.
Gold prices experienced a decline of 0.7%, marking the largest drop since November 25, as traders awaited a crucial US jobs report that could impact the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decisions. The precious metal had been trading within a narrow range since early last week.
India's benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, rose for the fifth consecutive day, boosted by a return of foreign institutional investors (FIIs) after two months of heavy selling. Sensex increased by 0.17% to 81,096 points, while Nifty gained 0.14% to 24,501 points, with both indices surging over 2.5% in the last five sessions.Sectorally, Nifty IT rose 0.8%, while Nifty Auto and FMCG gained 0.1%. Conversely, Nifty Pharma fell 0.5%, with Nifty Realty and Healthcare down 0.2% each. Global markets also strengthened following optimistic remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about the US economy.
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